Oceania · Polynesia

How many babies are born in Tonga?

2.34 thousand babies born in Tonga in 2026 — 0.00% of all births worldwide, and the 192nd largest of any country. UN projection

Plus or minus about 6%. These years have not happened yet or have not been counted yet. They are the medium variant of the UN's projection, not a record of births that took place.

Births in Tonga through history

1001K 1 CE1000150018002026
Estimated annual births in Tonga, 0 CE to 2026, on a logarithmic scale. The shaded band on the left marks the years where births are modelled rather than recorded. The marker sits on 2026.
Every figure refers to the area inside Tonga's present-day borders. Before 1800 the state did not exist in its current form — see how borders are handled.
Year Estimated births Population Per 1,000 Evidence
1 CE ~38 ~930 40.5 Modelled estimate
1000 ~63 ~1.6K 40.5 Modelled estimate
1500 ~260 ~5.8K 44.3 Modelled estimate
1800 ~840 ~18.7K 45.0 Historical reconstruction
1900 ~966 ~21.4K 45.0 Historical reconstruction
1950 2.15K 49.7K 43.3 UN estimate
2000 3.02K 103K 29.4 UN estimate
2024 2.4K 104K 23.0 UN projection
2026 2.34K 103K 22.6 UN projection

What the numbers show

Annual births in Tonga are at their highest in the whole run of estimates in 1980, at about 3.53K. That is roughly 62 times the estimated ~38 births a year in 1 CE.

At 3.04 children per woman, fertility in Tonga is above the level of about 2.1 that would hold a population steady over the long run without migration.

See Tonga on the map

Where these numbers come from

2026 figures are the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium variant. Earlier years come from the UN's estimates (1950 onward), Gapminder's reconstructions (1800–1949) and a model applied to HYDE population estimates (before 1800). The full chain is set out in the methodology, and every source is listed on the sources page.