Oceania · Polynesia

How many babies are born in Tokelau?

55 babies born in Tokelau in 2026 — 0.00% of all births worldwide, and the 230th largest of any country. UN projection

Plus or minus about 6%. These years have not happened yet or have not been counted yet. They are the medium variant of the UN's projection, not a record of births that took place.

Births in Tokelau through history

1700180019002026
Estimated annual births in Tokelau, 0 CE to 2026, on a logarithmic scale. The shaded band on the left marks the years where births are modelled rather than recorded. The marker sits on 2026.
Every figure refers to the area inside Tokelau's present-day borders. Before 1800 the state did not exist in its current form — see how borders are handled.
Year Estimated births Population Per 1,000 Evidence
1950 57 1.59K 35.9 UN estimate
2000 47 1.84K 25.4 UN estimate
2024 51 2.51K 20.2 UN projection
2026 55 2.69K 20.6 UN projection

What the numbers show

Annual births in Tokelau are at their highest in the whole run of estimates in 1962, at about 78. That is roughly 1.6 times the estimated ~35 births a year in 1700.

At 2.54 children per woman, fertility in Tokelau is above the level of about 2.1 that would hold a population steady over the long run without migration.

See Tokelau on the map

Where these numbers come from

2026 figures are the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium variant. Earlier years come from the UN's estimates (1950 onward), Gapminder's reconstructions (1800–1949) and a model applied to HYDE population estimates (before 1800). The full chain is set out in the methodology, and every source is listed on the sources page.