Africa · Eastern Africa

How many babies are born in Madagascar?

1.03 million babies born in Madagascar in 2026 — 0.78% of all births worldwide, and the 29th largest of any country. UN projection

Plus or minus about 6%. These years have not happened yet or have not been counted yet. They are the medium variant of the UN's projection, not a record of births that took place.

Births in Madagascar through history

1001K10K100K1M 1 CE1000150018002026
Estimated annual births in Madagascar, 0 CE to 2026, on a logarithmic scale. The shaded band on the left marks the years where births are modelled rather than recorded. The marker sits on 2026.
Every figure refers to the area inside Madagascar's present-day borders. Before 1800 the state did not exist in its current form — see how borders are handled.
Year Estimated births Population Per 1,000 Evidence
1 CE ~19 ~390 47.5 Modelled estimate
1000 ~8.7K ~200K 43.3 Modelled estimate
1500 ~30K ~700K 42.6 Modelled estimate
1800 ~71.2K ~1.5M 47.4 Historical reconstruction
1900 ~127K ~2.68M 47.4 Historical reconstruction
1950 197K 3.96M 49.8 UN estimate
2000 694K 16.5M 42.0 UN estimate
2024 1.01M 32M 31.7 UN projection
2026 1.03M 33.5M 30.8 UN projection

What the numbers show

Annual births in Madagascar are at their highest in the whole run of estimates in 2026, at about 1.03M. That is roughly 55866 times the estimated ~19 births a year in 1 CE.

At 3.78 children per woman, fertility in Madagascar is above the level of about 2.1 that would hold a population steady over the long run without migration.

See Madagascar on the map

Where these numbers come from

2026 figures are the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium variant. Earlier years come from the UN's estimates (1950 onward), Gapminder's reconstructions (1800–1949) and a model applied to HYDE population estimates (before 1800). The full chain is set out in the methodology, and every source is listed on the sources page.