Africa · Eastern Africa

How many babies are born in Madagascar?

1.03 million babies born in Madagascar in 2026. That is 0.78% of all births worldwide, and the 29th largest of any country. UN projection

2024–2100 uses the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, based on assumptions about fertility, mortality and migration. These are projections, not observed births or guaranteed outcomes. Uncertainty increases further into the future; this site does not display prediction intervals.

Births in Madagascar: history and projections

1001K10K100K1M 1 CE1000150018002100
Annual births, logarithmic scale. Shading marks modelled years before 1800; the dashed line marks UN projections from 2024.
Every figure refers to the area inside Madagascar’s present-day borders. Before 1800 the state did not exist in its current form. See how borders are handled.
Year Estimated births Population Per 1,000 Evidence
1 CE ~19 ~390 47.5 Modelled estimate
1000 ~8.7K ~200K 43.3 Modelled estimate
1500 ~30K ~700K 42.6 Modelled estimate
1800 ~71.2K ~1.5M 47.4 Historical reconstruction
1900 ~127K ~2.68M 47.4 Historical reconstruction
1950 197K 3.96M 49.8 UN estimate
2000 694K 16.5M 42.0 UN estimate
2023 1M 31.2M 32.1 UN estimate
2026 1.03M 33.5M 30.8 UN projection
2050 1.22M 53.2M 22.9 UN projection
2075 1.27M 72.4M 17.6 UN projection
2100 1.22M 85.3M 14.3 UN projection

What the numbers show

The highest annual births in Madagascar among estimates through 2023 were in 2023, at about 1M. That is roughly 54,113 times the estimated ~19 births a year in 1 CE.

At 3.78 children per woman, fertility in Madagascar is above the level of about 2.1 that would hold a population steady over the long run without migration.

See Madagascar on the map

How many babies are born in Madagascar each year?

An estimated 1.03 million babies are born in Madagascar in 2026, according to the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium projection. That is about 2,830 a day and 0.78% of all births worldwide.

What is the birth rate in Madagascar?

Madagascar has an estimated 30.8 births per 1,000 people in 2026, and a total fertility rate of 3.78 children per woman.

Where these numbers come from

2026 figures are the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario. UN estimates cover 1950–2023; projections cover 2024–2100. Earlier years come from Gapminder’s reconstructions (1800–1949) and a model applied to HYDE population estimates (before 1800). The full chain is set out in the methodology, and every source is listed on the sources page.